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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 25

Inter Toronto FC

INT

Supra du Québec

SUP

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Inter Toronto FC45%
Draw25%
Supra du Québec30%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.43

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–07.8%
  • 1–27.2%
  • 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession52%
38%Territory39%
8.0%Directness7.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Inter Toronto FC, 3 for Supra du Québec. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.