Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 25
Supra du Québec
SUP
Pacific FC
PAC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Supra du Québec53%
Draw24%
Pacific FC23%
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.20
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–08.0%
- 1–26.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession50%
39%Territory36%
7.4%Directness3.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Supra du Québec, 4 for Pacific FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.