Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 24
Cavalry FC
CAV
Supra du Québec
SUP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cavalry FC73%
Draw18%
Supra du Québec9%
Expected goals
2.21 – 0.66
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.9%
- 1–013.1%
- 3–09.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession52%
44%Territory39%
6.2%Directness7.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cavalry FC, 3 for Supra du Québec. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Cavalry FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.