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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30

Halmstads BK

HAL

Mjällby

MJL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Halmstads BK18%
Draw29%
Mjällby53%

Expected goals

0.70 – 1.39

Over 2.5

35%

Both to score

39%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–117.6%
  • 0–013.4%
  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–211.5%
  • 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mjällby get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

41%Possession46%
34%Territory37%
26%From set plays48%
0.06Chance quality0.08
5.6%Directness8.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Halmstads BK, 3 for Mjällby. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.