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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30

Halmstads BK

HAL

Mjällby

MJL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Halmstads BK36%
Draw29%
Mjällby34%

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.22

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Mjällby get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession42%
33%Territory36%
29%From set plays57%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Halmstads BK, 5 for Mjällby. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.