Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30
Elfsborg
ELF
GAIS
GAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elfsborg55%
Draw26%
GAIS18%
Expected goals
1.61 – 0.85
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.3%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–010.8%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–09.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession50%
39%Territory39%
41%From set plays52%
0.11Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Elfsborg, 3 for GAIS. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.