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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30

Malmö FF

MAL

Brommapojkarna

BRO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Malmö FF56%
Draw25%
Brommapojkarna19%

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.91

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.1%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Malmö FF will have the ball; Brommapojkarna will not mind.

55%Possession44%
52%Territory30%
28%From set plays8%
0.08Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Malmö FF, 3 for Brommapojkarna. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.