Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30
IFK Göteborg
IFK
Sirius
SIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
IFK Göteborg27%
Draw25%
Sirius48%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.79
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–26.9%
- 2–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sirius get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
50%Possession49%
40%Territory35%
35%From set plays52%
0.08Chance quality0.13
6.5%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for IFK Göteborg, 3 for Sirius. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.