Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30
IFK Göteborg
IFK
Sirius
SIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
IFK Göteborg36%
Draw28%
Sirius36%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.34
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession46%
49%Territory42%
39%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.4%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for IFK Göteborg, 3 for Sirius. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.