Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30
Djurgården
DJU
Häcken
HCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Djurgården57%
Draw24%
Häcken19%
Expected goals
1.79 – 0.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.0%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Häcken get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession52%
44%Territory45%
4%From set plays30%
0.15Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Djurgården, 3 for Häcken. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.