Allsvenskan · Matchweek 30
Djurgården
DJU
Häcken
HCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Djurgården51%
Draw28%
Häcken21%
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.87
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.6%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–010.7%
- 2–010.0%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession52%
46%Territory46%
18%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Djurgården, 4 for Häcken.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.