Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29
Sirius
SIR
Djurgården
DJU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sirius31%
Draw28%
Djurgården41%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.43
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.5%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sirius get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession54%
42%Territory44%
29%From set plays4%
0.09Chance quality0.15
5.5%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sirius, 4 for Djurgården. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.