Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29
Sirius
SIR
Djurgården
DJU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sirius34%
Draw28%
Djurgården39%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.41
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sirius get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession53%
35%Territory46%
52%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.4%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sirius, 4 for Djurgården. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.