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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29

Brommapojkarna

BRO

Halmstads BK

HAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brommapojkarna48%
Draw29%
Halmstads BK23%

Expected goals

1.39 – 0.89

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.5%
  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–011.3%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Halmstads BK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession49%
30%Territory33%
8%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brommapojkarna, 3 for Halmstads BK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.