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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29

Brommapojkarna

BRO

Halmstads BK

HAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brommapojkarna62%
Draw25%
Halmstads BK13%

Expected goals

1.63 – 0.64

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

39%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–017.2%
  • 2–013.4%
  • 0–011.1%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

44%Possession41%
37%Territory34%
29%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.06
6.9%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Brommapojkarna, 4 for Halmstads BK.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.