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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29

Mjällby

MJL

Malmö FF

MAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mjällby25%
Draw26%
Malmö FF50%

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.67

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Malmö FF will have the ball; Mjällby will not mind.

42%Possession55%
36%Territory52%
57%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.6%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Mjällby, 3 for Malmö FF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.