Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29
Mjällby
MJL
Malmö FF
MAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mjällby40%
Draw30%
Malmö FF30%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.07
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.5%
- 0–011.2%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Malmö FF will have the ball; Mjällby will not mind.
46%Possession56%
37%Territory37%
48%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.08
8.1%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Mjällby, 5 for Malmö FF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.