Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29
Häcken
HCK
Elfsborg
ELF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Häcken37%
Draw29%
Elfsborg34%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.19
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 0–110.5%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Elfsborg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession54%
46%Territory39%
17%From set plays41%
0.09Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Häcken, 5 for Elfsborg.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.