Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29
Häcken
HCK
Elfsborg
ELF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Häcken43%
Draw29%
Elfsborg28%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.04
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–010.4%
- 0–19.5%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Häcken get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession54%
45%Territory39%
30%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Häcken, 3 for Elfsborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.