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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29

Örgryte

RGR

Kalmar FF

KAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Örgryte30%
Draw27%
Kalmar FF44%

Expected goals

1.24 – 1.53

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–07.9%
  • 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Kalmar FF will have the ball; Örgryte will not mind.

38%Possession49%
39%Territory41%
27%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.13
6.0%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Örgryte, 4 for Kalmar FF.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.