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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29

Hammarby

HAM

IFK Göteborg

IFK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hammarby65%
Draw22%
IFK Göteborg13%

Expected goals

1.91 – 0.77

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

46%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.8%
  • 2–012.5%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hammarby will have the ball; IFK Göteborg will not mind.

62%Possession50%
52%Territory40%
12%From set plays35%
0.10Chance quality0.08
2.4%Directness6.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hammarby, 4 for IFK Göteborg.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 28 of 213 matches, not the full season.