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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29

Hammarby

HAM

IFK Göteborg

IFK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hammarby69%
Draw19%
IFK Göteborg13%

Expected goals

2.32 – 0.95

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.4%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 1–18.3%
  • 3–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hammarby will have the ball; IFK Göteborg will not mind.

63%Possession50%
54%Territory49%
33%From set plays39%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.2%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hammarby, 3 for IFK Göteborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.