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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28

Halmstads BK

HAL

Djurgården

DJU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Halmstads BK14%
Draw23%
Djurgården64%

Expected goals

0.75 – 1.84

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–114.3%
  • 0–212.5%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Halmstads BK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession54%
33%Territory44%
29%From set plays4%
0.10Chance quality0.15
4.4%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Halmstads BK, 4 for Djurgården. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.