Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28

Kalmar FF

KAL

Sirius

SIR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kalmar FF28%
Draw25%
Sirius47%

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.69

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 0–27.0%
  • 2–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sirius get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession49%
38%Territory35%
20%From set plays52%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.2%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kalmar FF, 3 for Sirius. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 215 matches, not the full season.