Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28
Kalmar FF
KAL
Sirius
SIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalmar FF34%
Draw30%
Sirius36%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.20
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–111.5%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–010.8%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession46%
43%Territory42%
26%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.09
4.4%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalmar FF, 3 for Sirius. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kalmar FF
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.