Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28
Brommapojkarna
BRO
Mjällby
MJL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brommapojkarna38%
Draw32%
Mjällby30%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.00
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.6%
- 1–113.5%
- 0–013.2%
- 0–111.5%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Mjällby get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession46%
37%Territory37%
29%From set plays48%
0.07Chance quality0.08
6.9%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Brommapojkarna, 3 for Mjällby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brommapojkarna
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.