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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28

IFK Göteborg

IFK

Malmö FF

MAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

IFK Göteborg37%
Draw28%
Malmö FF35%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.31

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–08.3%
  • 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

50%Possession55%
49%Territory52%
39%From set plays28%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for IFK Göteborg, 3 for Malmö FF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.