Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28
IFK Göteborg
IFK
Malmö FF
MAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
IFK Göteborg40%
Draw29%
Malmö FF31%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.16
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–18.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession56%
40%Territory37%
35%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.5%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for IFK Göteborg, 5 for Malmö FF.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.