Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28
Hammarby
HAM
Elfsborg
ELF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hammarby48%
Draw29%
Elfsborg24%
Expected goals
1.41 – 0.93
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.0%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.8%
- 2–09.1%
- 2–19.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Elfsborg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
62%Possession54%
52%Territory39%
12%From set plays41%
0.10Chance quality0.11
2.4%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Hammarby, 5 for Elfsborg.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.