Allsvenskan · Matchweek 28
Hammarby
HAM
Elfsborg
ELF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hammarby67%
Draw20%
Elfsborg13%
Expected goals
2.08 – 0.84
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.8%
- 2–011.7%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.3%
- 3–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hammarby will have the ball; Elfsborg will not mind.
63%Possession54%
54%Territory39%
33%From set plays13%
0.14Chance quality0.10
3.2%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hammarby, 3 for Elfsborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.