Allsvenskan · Matchweek 27
Sirius
SIR
Halmstads BK
HAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sirius64%
Draw22%
Halmstads BK13%
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.76
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.9%
- 2–012.5%
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession49%
42%Territory33%
29%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sirius, 3 for Halmstads BK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Halmstads BK
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.