Allsvenskan · Matchweek 27
Sirius
SIR
Halmstads BK
HAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sirius83%
Draw12%
Halmstads BK5%
Expected goals
2.79 – 0.63
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.1%
- 3–011.8%
- 1–09.6%
- 4–08.0%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sirius get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession41%
35%Territory34%
52%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.06
5.4%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sirius, 4 for Halmstads BK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.