Allsvenskan · Matchweek 27
Elfsborg
ELF
Örgryte
RGR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elfsborg66%
Draw21%
Örgryte14%
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.86
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 2–011.4%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Elfsborg will have the ball; Örgryte will not mind.
54%Possession40%
39%Territory26%
13%From set plays78%
0.10Chance quality0.23
3.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elfsborg, 3 for Örgryte. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.