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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 27

Malmö FF

MAL

Hammarby

HAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Malmö FF25%
Draw24%
Hammarby51%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.80

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 0–27.8%
  • 2–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hammarby will have the ball; Malmö FF will not mind.

55%Possession63%
52%Territory54%
28%From set plays33%
0.08Chance quality0.14
4.3%Directness3.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Malmö FF, 3 for Hammarby. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.