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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 27

Mjällby

MJL

Kalmar FF

KAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Mjällby29%
Draw29%
Kalmar FF42%

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.35

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.9%
  • 0111.9%
  • 009.8%
  • 109.5%
  • 128.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Kalmar FF will have the ball; Mjällby will not mind.

42%Possession52%
36%Territory43%
57%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.10
6.6%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Mjällby, 3 for Kalmar FF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.