Allsvenskan · Matchweek 27
Häcken
HCK
IFK Göteborg
IFK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Häcken44%
Draw27%
IFK Göteborg29%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.18
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.2%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession50%
45%Territory49%
30%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Häcken, 3 for IFK Göteborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.