Allsvenskan · Matchweek 26
Halmstads BK
HAL
Malmö FF
MAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Halmstads BK21%
Draw27%
Malmö FF52%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.55
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.7%
- 1–112.0%
- 0–29.8%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–29.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession55%
33%Territory52%
29%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.4%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Halmstads BK, 3 for Malmö FF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Halmstads BK
Malmö FF
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.