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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 26

Brommapojkarna

BRO

Häcken

HCK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brommapojkarna30%
Draw29%
Häcken41%

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.36

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–111.6%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 0–09.5%
  • 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Häcken get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession52%
30%Territory45%
8%From set plays30%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.6%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brommapojkarna, 3 for Häcken. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.