Allsvenskan · Matchweek 26
Örgryte
RGR
Mjällby
MJL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Örgryte33%
Draw25%
Mjällby42%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.66
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–17.8%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Örgryte get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession42%
26%Territory36%
78%From set plays57%
0.23Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Örgryte, 5 for Mjällby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.