Allsvenskan · Matchweek 26
Hammarby
HAM
Sirius
SIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hammarby63%
Draw21%
Sirius16%
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.04
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–19.3%
- 3–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hammarby will have the ball; Sirius will not mind.
63%Possession46%
54%Territory42%
33%From set plays29%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.2%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hammarby, 3 for Sirius. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.