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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 25

Elfsborg

ELF

Malmö FF

MAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Elfsborg35%
Draw30%
Malmö FF35%

Expected goals

1.18 – 1.18

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.3%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 0–010.9%
  • 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Malmö FF get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession55%
39%Territory52%
13%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.08
3.2%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elfsborg, 3 for Malmö FF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.