Allsvenskan · Matchweek 25
Mjällby
MJL
Hammarby
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mjällby12%
Draw17%
Hammarby71%
Expected goals
0.96 – 2.48
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–38.0%
- 1–37.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hammarby will have the ball; Mjällby will not mind.
42%Possession63%
36%Territory54%
57%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.14
6.6%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Mjällby, 3 for Hammarby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.