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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 25

GAIS

GAI

IFK Göteborg

IFK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

GAIS41%
Draw30%
IFK Göteborg29%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.06

Over 2.5

41%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.1%
  • 1012.6%
  • 0010.8%
  • 0110.1%
  • 218.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

IFK Göteborg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession50%
45%Territory49%
8%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GAIS, 3 for IFK Göteborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.