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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 25

Djurgården

DJU

Örgryte

RGR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Djurgården83%
Draw11%
Örgryte6%

Expected goals

2.98 – 0.73

Over 2.5

71%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

-2.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2011.2%
  • 3010.8%
  • 317.9%
  • 217.9%
  • 407.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Djurgården will have the ball; Örgryte will not mind.

54%Possession40%
44%Territory26%
4%From set plays78%
0.15Chance quality0.23
3.9%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Djurgården, 3 for Örgryte. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.