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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 24

Halmstads BK

HAL

Hammarby

HAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Halmstads BK10%
Draw18%
Hammarby72%

Expected goals

0.77 – 2.31

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

1.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–212.4%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–39.2%
  • 1–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Hammarby will have the ball; Halmstads BK will not mind.

49%Possession63%
33%Territory54%
29%From set plays33%
0.10Chance quality0.14
4.4%Directness3.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Halmstads BK, 3 for Hammarby. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.