Allsvenskan · Matchweek 24
Sirius
SIR
Elfsborg
ELF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sirius47%
Draw28%
Elfsborg25%
Expected goals
1.43 – 0.99
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.2%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sirius get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession54%
42%Territory39%
29%From set plays13%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.5%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sirius, 3 for Elfsborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.