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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 24

Örgryte

RGR

GAIS

GAI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Örgryte20%
Draw25%
GAIS55%

Expected goals

1.00 – 1.75

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 0111.8%
  • 1111.2%
  • 129.8%
  • 029.6%
  • 007.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

GAIS will have the ball; Örgryte will not mind.

40%Possession51%
26%Territory45%
78%From set plays8%
0.23Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Örgryte, 3 for GAIS. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.