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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 23

Elfsborg

ELF

Halmstads BK

HAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Elfsborg56%
Draw27%
Halmstads BK17%

Expected goals

1.51 – 0.75

Over 2.5

39%

Both to score

42%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–016.3%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–011.6%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 2–19.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Halmstads BK get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession49%
39%Territory33%
13%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.2%Directness4.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elfsborg, 3 for Halmstads BK. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.