Allsvenskan · Matchweek 23
Malmö FF
MAL
Kalmar FF
KAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Malmö FF46%
Draw29%
Kalmar FF25%
Expected goals
1.40 – 0.98
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.3%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession52%
52%Territory43%
28%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Malmö FF, 3 for Kalmar FF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Malmö FF
Kalmar FF
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.