Allsvenskan · Matchweek 23
Häcken
HCK
Örgryte
RGR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Häcken71%
Draw18%
Örgryte12%
Expected goals
2.42 – 0.93
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.1%
- 3–08.1%
- 1–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Häcken will have the ball; Örgryte will not mind.
52%Possession40%
45%Territory26%
30%From set plays78%
0.10Chance quality0.23
5.0%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Häcken, 3 for Örgryte. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.