Allsvenskan · Matchweek 23
GAIS
GAI
Sirius
SIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
GAIS36%
Draw30%
Sirius34%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.17
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.4%
- 0–111.2%
- 0–010.9%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sirius get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession46%
45%Territory42%
8%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for GAIS, 3 for Sirius. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.