Allsvenskan · Matchweek 23
Hammarby
HAM
Djurgården
DJU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hammarby50%
Draw25%
Djurgården25%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.21
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hammarby will have the ball; Djurgården will not mind.
63%Possession54%
54%Territory44%
33%From set plays4%
0.14Chance quality0.15
3.2%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hammarby, 4 for Djurgården. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.