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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Allsvenskan · Matchweek 22

Brommapojkarna

BRO

IFK Göteborg

IFK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brommapojkarna32%
Draw29%
IFK Göteborg39%

Expected goals

1.17 – 1.31

Over 2.5

45%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

IFK Göteborg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession50%
30%Territory49%
8%From set plays39%
0.09Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brommapojkarna, 3 for IFK Göteborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.