Allsvenskan · Matchweek 22
Mjällby
MJL
GAIS
GAI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Mjällby28%
Draw29%
GAIS44%
Expected goals
1.07 – 1.38
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–112.2%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
GAIS will have the ball; Mjällby will not mind.
42%Possession51%
36%Territory45%
57%From set plays8%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.6%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Mjällby, 3 for GAIS. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.