Allsvenskan · Matchweek 22
Örgryte
RGR
Sirius
SIR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Örgryte16%
Draw21%
Sirius63%
Expected goals
1.05 – 2.16
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.5%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–19.2%
- 1–37.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Örgryte get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession46%
26%Territory42%
78%From set plays29%
0.23Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Örgryte, 3 for Sirius. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.