Allsvenskan · Matchweek 22
Djurgården
DJU
Elfsborg
ELF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Djurgården58%
Draw25%
Elfsborg17%
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.82
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.5%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–011.3%
- 2–19.6%
- 0–09.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession54%
44%Territory39%
4%From set plays13%
0.15Chance quality0.10
3.9%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Djurgården, 3 for Elfsborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 168 matches, not the full season.