Eliteserien · Matchweek 30
Viking
VIK
Hamarkameratene
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viking86%
Draw10%
HamKam4%
Expected goals
3.07 – 0.63
Over 2.5
71%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.0%
- 3–011.9%
- 4–08.9%
- 1–08.0%
- 3–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
54%Possession47%
43%Territory37%
41%From set plays37%
0.15Chance quality0.09
5.5%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viking, 3 for HamKam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Viking
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.