Eliteserien · Matchweek 30
Viking
VIK
Hamarkameratene
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viking78%
Draw15%
HamKam7%
Expected goals
2.42 – 0.60
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–014.4%
- 1–012.3%
- 3–011.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession43%
43%Territory37%
18%From set plays31%
0.15Chance quality0.07
5.8%Directness9.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viking, 3 for HamKam. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.