Eliteserien · Matchweek 30
Start
STA
Kristiansund
KRI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Start37%
Draw23%
Kristiansund40%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.85
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
71%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.1%
- 1–28.0%
- 2–17.7%
- 2–27.3%
- 0–15.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
38%Possession44%
35%Territory41%
29%From set plays20%
0.13Chance quality0.15
8.1%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Start, 3 for Kristiansund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.