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Eliteserien · Matchweek 30

Start

STA

Kristiansund

KRI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Start53%
Draw24%
Kristiansund22%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.12

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 1010.3%
  • 219.8%
  • 208.6%
  • 006.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Start get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

45%Possession41%
40%Territory35%
28%From set plays8%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Start, 3 for Kristiansund. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.