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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 30

Sandefjord

SAN

Vålerenga

VLE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sandefjord56%
Draw22%
Vålerenga22%

Expected goals

2.03 – 1.25

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.7%
  • 1–08.2%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sandefjord will have the ball; Vålerenga will not mind.

63%Possession49%
44%Territory50%
17%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.13
6.4%Directness7.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sandefjord, 4 for Vålerenga. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.