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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Eliteserien · Matchweek 30

Sandefjord

SAN

Vålerenga

VLE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sandefjord31%
Draw27%
Vålerenga42%

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.51

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Vålerenga get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession53%
34%Territory47%
17%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sandefjord, 3 for Vålerenga. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.