Eliteserien · Matchweek 30
Lillestrøm
LIL
Tromsø
TRO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lillestrøm39%
Draw30%
Tromsø31%
Expected goals
1.27 – 1.11
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.0%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–110.4%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Tromsø will have the ball; Lillestrøm will not mind.
41%Possession51%
39%Territory41%
38%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.08
6.2%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lillestrøm, 3 for Tromsø. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 200 matches, not the full season.