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Eliteserien · Matchweek 30

Fredrikstad

FRE

Molde

MOL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Fredrikstad29%
Draw27%
Molde44%

Expected goals

1.16 – 1.48

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.4%
  • 0111.0%
  • 129.0%
  • 108.4%
  • 008.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Molde will have the ball; Fredrikstad will not mind.

49%Possession58%
42%Territory44%
30%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fredrikstad, 3 for Molde. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.