Eliteserien · Matchweek 30
Fredrikstad
FRE
Molde
MOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fredrikstad16%
Draw18%
Molde66%
Expected goals
1.28 – 2.61
Over 2.5
73%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.0%
- 1–37.8%
- 0–27.2%
- 1–17.0%
- 0–35.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Molde will have the ball; Fredrikstad will not mind.
48%Possession65%
36%Territory50%
19%From set plays10%
0.10Chance quality0.21
5.7%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fredrikstad, 3 for Molde. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Fredrikstad
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.