Eliteserien · Matchweek 30
Brann
BRA
Aalesund
AAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brann60%
Draw18%
Aalesund21%
Expected goals
2.80 – 1.74
Over 2.5
82%
Both to score
78%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.5%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–26.3%
- 3–26.0%
- 1–15.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brann will have the ball; Aalesund will not mind.
57%Possession35%
55%Territory31%
17%From set plays12%
0.14Chance quality0.11
6.4%Directness8.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brann, 3 for Aalesund. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 200 matches, not the full season.