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Eliteserien · Matchweek 30

Brann

BRA

Aalesund

AAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brann54%
Draw23%
Aalesund23%

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.28

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 119.9%
  • 219.7%
  • 108.2%
  • 207.5%
  • 316.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brann will have the ball; Aalesund will not mind.

63%Possession50%
54%Territory46%
34%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.11
3.9%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brann, 3 for Aalesund. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 160 matches, not the full season.